Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 49.159137 57.785112 67.216779 78.260564 90.801273 104.562376 120.767111
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 36.309114 47.814147 61.589437 79.146411 100.761471 126.326870 158.659209
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 27.550530 39.773251 55.504110 76.912948 104.924802 139.932463 186.535631
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 22.503468 35.126273 52.385333 77.170819 111.223809 155.666856 217.225371
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 19.079145 31.931330 50.466417 78.350705 118.284577 172.328027 249.676752
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 14.726829 26.541850 44.561520 73.000495 115.479174 175.089181 263.209811
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 12.990481 24.876922 43.845385 74.945823 122.959561 192.256678 297.269742
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 11.018138 22.462888 41.590351 74.177981 126.164291 203.293333 323.028837
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 10.391389 22.267981 42.853685 78.988434 138.105474 227.676497 369.285353
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.396266 19.223695 38.911006 74.832425 135.530934 229.984646 382.782167
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 7.704248 18.554814 39.011604 77.431243 143.918886 249.419976 422.958403
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.446289 18.714333 40.610251 82.726575 157.050573 276.873467 476.646115
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.823974 18.141844 41.020868 86.408231 168.536788 303.643268 532.772714
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.912801 16.785697 39.790906 87.063206 175.053286 323.107267 578.994889
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.859097 14.853314 37.099825 84.611230 175.794522 332.983903 610.196331
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.203327 13.729114 35.905668 84.887636 181.405143 351.267948 655.997715
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.715619 12.919845 35.263238 86.166104 188.908823 373.141664 708.769267
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.861111 10.863036 31.446591 80.365435 182.358909 369.881723 718.548134
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.584196 10.411936 31.339261 82.475124 191.360644 394.806575 778.052275
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.198828 9.512883 29.980233 81.642489 194.366812 408.925665 819.191400
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.127692 9.629192 31.229162 86.857153 210.067287 447.252785 904.919969
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.679362 8.300132 28.444533 82.352164 205.184530 446.721649 920.761939
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.552344 8.102814 28.715946 85.169556 216.001563 476.535852 993.010626